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Thursday, May 1, 2014

Trade Idea: USD/CHF - Sell at 0.8825

As the greenback has fallen again after brief recovery, adding credence to our bearish view that the rebound from 0.8770 has ended at 0.8862 and consolidation with downside bias remains for test of this week's low of 0.8770 but break there is needed to extend the fall from last week's



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Greenback Widely Offered Post-FOMC, GBP At Fresh Highs

As widely expected, the Fed reduced the pace of its monthly bond purchases by another 10 billion US dollars, reiterating that the low rates are appropriate for “considerable time” after the bond purchasing program ends. USD is broadly weaker across the board; DXY falls to 79.507 for the first time



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Trade Idea: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.6840

As the British pound has maintained a firm undertone after yesterday's rally to 1.6901, bullishness remains for recent upmove to extend further gain to 1.6905-10 (50% projection of 1.6555-1.6842 measuring from 1.6763) and later towards 1.6940-50 (61.8% projection), however, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond



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Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Stand aside

Although the single currency has risen again and broke above resistance at 1.3880, euro needs to penetrate resistance at 1.3906 to signal the rise from 1.3673 has resumed and bring further gain towards 1.3945-50, however, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond there and reckon resistance



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Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Stand aside

Although the greenback fell to as low as 102.03 yesterday, as dollar has recovered after holding above indicated support at 101.96, retaining our view that further consolidation within recent established broad range would be seen and recovery to the Ichimoku cloud (now at 102.44-53) cannot be ruled out, however, reckon



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EUR/GBP Candlesticks and Ichimoku Analysis

Although the single currency has remained under pressure and near term downside risk remains for the fall from 0.8400 to extend marginal weakness, if our view that temporary low possibly formed at 0.8158 is correct, downside should be limited to 0.8191 support and bring another rebound later to 0.8279-80 (current



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EUR/CHF - Candlesticks and Ichimoku Analysis

Euro's rebound after finding renewed buying interest at 1.2141 suggests the retreat from 1.2250 has possibly ended there and consolidation with upside bias is seen for another test of said resistance, above there (this would also penetrate the upper Kumo at 1.2241) would add credence to our view that low



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